Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.078873 0.088302 0.097996 0.108679 0.120093 0.131894 0.144991
2025-03-02 0.065769 0.080002 0.095388 0.113125 0.132881 0.154087 0.178451
2025-03-09 0.052391 0.069018 0.087853 0.110457 0.136542 0.165416 0.199510
2025-03-16 0.041920 0.059690 0.080735 0.106929 0.138108 0.173527 0.216304
2025-03-23 0.037311 0.056621 0.080320 0.110654 0.147607 0.190383 0.242878
2025-03-30 0.033032 0.053345 0.079137 0.113018 0.155158 0.204759 0.266477
2025-04-06 0.030208 0.051576 0.079529 0.117070 0.164577 0.221259 0.292581
2025-04-13 0.026163 0.047647 0.076720 0.116728 0.168313 0.230753 0.310243
2025-04-20 0.025234 0.048004 0.079515 0.123568 0.181045 0.251248 0.341269
2025-04-27 0.021511 0.043822 0.075786 0.121541 0.182293 0.257474 0.354887
2025-05-04 0.019969 0.042790 0.076313 0.125108 0.190684 0.272564 0.379405
2025-05-11 0.017415 0.039854 0.073884 0.124454 0.193430 0.280491 0.395050
2025-05-18 0.016617 0.039897 0.076018 0.130482 0.205529 0.300951 0.427226
2025-05-25 0.015512 0.039323 0.077217 0.135264 0.216128 0.319754 0.457709
2025-06-01 0.012761 0.035442 0.073073 0.132191 0.215971 0.324639 0.470642
2025-06-08 0.010221 0.031512 0.068503 0.128198 0.214320 0.327421 0.480800
2025-06-15 0.009497 0.031059 0.069480 0.132380 0.223978 0.345047 0.510017
2025-06-22 0.008583 0.030070 0.069477 0.135032 0.231485 0.359868 0.535714
2025-06-29 0.008058 0.029844 0.070723 0.139577 0.241688 0.378329 0.566222
2025-07-06 0.006865 0.027895 0.068846 0.139193 0.244817 0.387332 0.584489
2025-07-13 0.006880 0.028828 0.072083 0.146855 0.259558 0.412020 0.623332
2025-07-20 0.005632 0.026398 0.069113 0.144586 0.259883 0.417238 0.636731
2025-07-27 0.005248 0.026133 0.070070 0.148577 0.269324 0.434847 0.666469